Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.068508 0.077139 0.086039 0.095873 0.106405 0.117319 0.129456
2025-03-09 0.051195 0.063362 0.076638 0.092066 0.109369 0.128055 0.149638
2025-03-16 0.039169 0.053060 0.069030 0.088423 0.111028 0.136256 0.166256
2025-03-23 0.033823 0.049397 0.068073 0.091539 0.119682 0.151841 0.190867
2025-03-30 0.029254 0.045905 0.066675 0.093579 0.126653 0.165208 0.212784
2025-04-06 0.026353 0.044072 0.066938 0.097323 0.135436 0.180574 0.237009
2025-04-13 0.022349 0.040212 0.064164 0.096884 0.138806 0.189280 0.253233
2025-04-20 0.021284 0.040289 0.066443 0.102827 0.150088 0.207586 0.281051
2025-04-27 0.017760 0.036333 0.062907 0.100867 0.151147 0.213219 0.293449
2025-05-04 0.016322 0.035358 0.063367 0.104124 0.158835 0.227042 0.315886
2025-05-11 0.013967 0.032620 0.061068 0.103433 0.161239 0.234167 0.330036
2025-05-18 0.013075 0.032190 0.062071 0.107262 0.169589 0.248828 0.353611
2025-05-25 0.011987 0.031439 0.062742 0.110929 0.178203 0.264470 0.379299
2025-06-01 0.009523 0.027852 0.058811 0.107856 0.177657 0.268378 0.390365
2025-06-08 0.007335 0.024340 0.054652 0.104166 0.176057 0.270785 0.399467
2025-06-15 0.006690 0.023860 0.055390 0.107740 0.184546 0.286468 0.425647
2025-06-22 0.005919 0.022961 0.055326 0.110043 0.191237 0.299808 0.448894
2025-06-29 0.005498 0.022785 0.056477 0.114210 0.200602 0.316769 0.476936
2025-07-06 0.004520 0.021050 0.054720 0.113726 0.203245 0.324712 0.493282
2025-07-13 0.004494 0.021749 0.057398 0.120312 0.216168 0.346595 0.527963
2025-07-20 0.003509 0.019627 0.054690 0.118142 0.216271 0.351087 0.539858
2025-07-27 0.003219 0.019409 0.055548 0.121747 0.224857 0.367166 0.567074
2025-08-03 0.002579 0.017920 0.053810 0.120983 0.226922 0.374298 0.582485